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Red44
397016.9
510416.5
62418.3
Blue58
546114.5
766314.7
741315.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444102060801004458

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#37
16.90.1
17.717.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End1.6
red by 1.1
7413
#12
15.81.7
14.115.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End3.6
Second
5104
#32
16.50.1
15.715.6
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End5.2
red by 1.8
7663
#25
14.71.7
11.713.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Third
6241
#48
8.30.1
8.48.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End2.3
blue by 6.2
14.51.7
13.214.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsEarned