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Red31
566914.9
40199.7
66589.0
Blue23
496412.3
551210.7
69388.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373310203050603123

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5669
#37
14.90.5
15.014.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End3.2
red by 2.6
4964
#18
12.31.2
12.411.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End2.4
Second
4019
#56
9.70.8
10.79.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End1.8
blue by 0.9
5512
#21
10.71.3
11.19.8
Auto5.3
Teleop3.0
End2.3
Third
6658
#49
9.00.8
9.68.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.4
End1.4
red by 0.9
6938
#51
8.01.3
8.26.9
Auto3.6
Teleop0.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed