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Red64
600013.7
519922.1
78719.0
Blue53
86716.8
237512.3
65158.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46402060806453

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.1
20.620.7
Auto3.6
Teleop11.9
End6.6
red by 5.3
867
#11
16.80.1
17.016.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End3.5
Second
6000
#19
13.70.2
14.014.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End3.3
red by 1.4
2375
#45
12.30.1
12.612.5
Auto5.4
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Third
7871
#44
9.00.2
8.99.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End2.6
red by 0.2
6515
#39
8.80.1
8.68.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed