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Red42
427623.1
58011.8
6065.7
Blue27
9689.7
145215.0
457810.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44401020305060704227

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.2
22.622.4
Auto6.2
Teleop12.5
End4.4
red by 8.2
1452
#20
15.00.7
16.916.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.0
End5.0
Second
580
#46
11.80.3
11.611.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End4.2
red by 1.0
4578
#16
10.81.1
11.110.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End4.5
Third
606
#53
5.70.3
7.37.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.9
End0.9
blue by 4.0
968
#55
9.71.2
9.58.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed