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Red42
98012.7
690415.7
58910.7
Blue53
6065.7
566914.9
20727.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4152102030607080904253

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6904
#41
15.70.2
15.515.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
blue by 11.7
207
#7
27.30.2
27.727.6
Auto4.2
Teleop19.5
End3.6
Second
980
#35
12.70.3
12.813.2
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End2.7
blue by 2.2
5669
#37
14.90.2
14.514.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End3.2
Third
589
#43
10.70.3
10.410.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End2.4
red by 5.1
606
#53
5.70.2
7.16.8
Auto2.9
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed