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Red38
476311.2
41419.7
508922.8
Blue62
68722.9
340814.0
427623.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4962102030407080903862

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5089
#10
22.80.5
23.923.4
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End3.6
blue by 0.3
23.10.2
22.422.6
Auto6.2
Teleop12.5
End4.4
Second
4763
#22
11.20.5
11.711.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End2.8
blue by 11.7
687
#8
22.90.2
22.222.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.9
End3.2
Third
4141
#42
9.70.8
10.59.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End2.3
blue by 4.3
3408
#33
14.00.3
14.614.8
Auto5.6
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed