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Red44
732717.8
471113.5
265919.3
Blue52
581819.7
388212.3
166111.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41441020305060704452

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#18
19.30.6
16.116.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End4.4
blue by 0.4
19.70.5
15.015.5
Auto4.6
Teleop12.5
End2.6
Second
7327
#22
17.80.6
9.910.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End4.0
red by 5.5
3882
#21
12.30.5
14.615.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End0.6
Third
4711
#33
13.50.6
12.513.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.0
End3.5
red by 2.3
1661
#14
11.20.3
12.312.5
Auto4.9
Teleop4.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed