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Red47
115916.6
39939.8
764515.9
Blue48
258421.1
508919.9
606018.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343910203050604748

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1159
#16
16.60.8
17.518.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.5
End3.0
blue by 4.5
2584
#12
21.11.2
11.312.5
Auto5.3
Teleop12.5
End3.3
Second
15.91.3
7.28.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
blue by 4.0
19.91.2
12.413.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End4.1
Third
3993
#35
9.81.3
8.09.2
Auto2.4
Teleop6.2
End1.1
blue by 9.0
6060
#10
18.81.2
13.314.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed