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Red47
417.9
265919.3
166111.2
Blue49
694714.0
764515.9
581819.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484301020306070804749

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#18
19.30.2
16.616.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End4.4
blue by 0.4
19.70.9
16.317.2
Auto4.6
Teleop12.5
End2.6
Second
4
#8
17.90.2
14.714.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
red by 2.0
15.90.9
12.513.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Third
1661
#14
11.20.1
14.214.3
Auto4.9
Teleop4.7
End1.5
blue by 2.8
6947
#24
14.00.9
12.012.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsEarned