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Red61
20724.6
447015.1
545315.4
Blue58
240410.3
732717.8
580517.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4245102030506070806158

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207
#11
24.62.0
15.917.9
Auto3.5
Teleop17.4
End3.7
red by 6.9
7327
#22
17.81.4
14.616.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End4.0
Second
5453
#17
15.42.0
10.412.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End1.6
blue by 1.8
5805
#28
17.20.8
15.916.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Third
4470
#32
15.12.0
13.815.7
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End2.9
red by 4.8
2404
#31
10.31.4
11.713.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsEarned