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Red58
606018.8
528515.5
350110.9
Blue32
386323.1
63539.4
508919.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4047102030607080905832

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6060
#10
18.81.9
15.817.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End3.6
blue by 4.3
23.11.4
20.118.8
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End2.2
Second
5285
#30
15.51.9
14.216.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
blue by 4.4
19.91.4
13.412.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End4.1
Third
3501
#25
10.91.9
8.19.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End2.5
red by 1.5
6353
#34
9.41.4
10.99.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed