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Red52
606018.8
386323.1
683312.9
Blue45
471113.5
545315.4
69622.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434602060801005245

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.6
13.514.1
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End2.2
red by 0.7
696
#2
22.30.1
14.914.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End7.2
Second
6060
#10
18.80.6
12.813.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End3.6
red by 3.4
5453
#17
15.40.1
14.214.0
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Third
6833
#36
12.90.6
14.114.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End1.4
blue by 0.6
4711
#33
13.50.1
14.214.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsEarned