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Red31
447015.1
388212.3
528515.5
Blue49
764515.9
350110.9
656021.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4442203050603149

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5285
#30
15.51.2
13.812.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
blue by 5.8
21.41.7
16.214.5
Auto2.9
Teleop9.5
End8.9
Second
4470
#32
15.11.2
13.212.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End2.9
blue by 0.8
15.98.2
15.67.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Third
3882
#21
12.31.2
14.513.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End0.6
red by 1.3
3501
#25
10.92.6
13.310.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed56%HAB Docking oddsMissed