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Red46
59920.2
186823.5
417.9
Blue23
732717.8
39939.8
351216.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454202060801004623

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.4
14.214.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End5.1
red by 5.7
7327
#22
17.81.9
13.311.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End4.0
Second
599
#13
20.20.4
13.814.3
Auto5.9
Teleop9.2
End5.1
red by 3.8
3512
#15
16.41.9
16.114.2
Auto6.2
Teleop5.6
End4.6
Third
4
#8
17.90.4
14.214.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
red by 8.1
3993
#35
9.81.9
10.78.8
Auto2.4
Teleop6.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsMissed