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Red45
69622.3
258421.1
388212.3
Blue45
240410.3
392517.3
186823.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525140455560654545

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#2
22.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End7.2
blue by 1.2
23.5
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Second
2584
#12
21.1
Auto5.3
Teleop12.5
End3.3
red by 3.8
3925
#27
17.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Third
3882
#21
12.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End0.6
red by 2.0
2404
#31
10.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed