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Red52
265919.3
39939.8
680321.7
Blue29
350110.9
166111.2
683312.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4339203050605229

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.2
17.118.3
Auto2.6
Teleop12.4
End6.7
red by 8.8
6833
#36
12.90.8
12.511.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End1.4
Second
2659
#18
19.31.2
15.716.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End4.4
red by 8.2
1661
#14
11.20.5
14.413.9
Auto4.9
Teleop4.7
End1.5
Third
3993
#35
9.81.2
8.19.3
Auto2.4
Teleop6.2
End1.1
blue by 1.1
3501
#25
10.90.8
10.09.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed