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Red41
704213.0
242915.0
581819.7
Blue57
764515.9
545315.4
732717.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454820304060704157

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.5
16.616.1
Auto4.6
Teleop12.5
End2.6
red by 2.0
7327
#22
17.80.1
17.317.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End4.0
Second
2429
#20
15.00.5
13.312.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.6
End3.7
blue by 0.9
15.90.1
15.315.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Third
7042
#19
13.00.5
12.812.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End3.8
blue by 2.4
5453
#17
15.40.1
12.512.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed