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Red39
166111.2
351216.4
76079.0
Blue27
683312.9
69115.3
447015.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4143203050603927

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3512
#15
16.40.3
17.317.0
Auto6.2
Teleop5.6
End4.6
red by 1.0
691
#26
15.31.4
12.210.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.9
End3.6
Second
1661
#14
11.20.2
13.913.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.7
End1.5
blue by 3.9
4470
#32
15.11.3
16.715.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End2.9
Third
7607
#29
9.00.2
7.47.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.5
End1.7
blue by 3.9
6833
#36
12.91.3
11.710.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed