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Red70
166111.2
258421.1
386323.1
Blue41
76079.0
764515.9
265919.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57482030406070807041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.5
23.123.5
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End2.2
red by 3.7
2659
#18
19.30.5
19.719.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End4.4
Second
2584
#12
21.10.5
19.119.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.5
End3.3
red by 5.2
15.90.5
15.915.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Third
1661
#14
11.20.4
11.511.9
Auto4.9
Teleop4.7
End1.5
red by 2.2
7607
#29
9.00.5
9.69.0
Auto2.8
Teleop4.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed