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Red39
63539.4
680321.7
75957.9
Blue44
581819.7
351216.4
447015.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4456203040506070803944

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.9
22.521.6
Auto2.6
Teleop12.4
End6.7
red by 2.0
19.70.9
20.019.1
Auto4.6
Teleop12.5
End2.6
Second
6353
#34
9.40.9
10.39.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End2.0
blue by 7.0
3512
#15
16.41.0
16.815.8
Auto6.2
Teleop5.6
End4.6
Third
7595
#23
7.90.9
8.97.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End0.6
blue by 7.2
4470
#32
15.10.9
16.015.1
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed