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Red86
207320.7
312827.4
650613.8
Blue58
203512.8
517117.2
635313.0
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6744204060801008658

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.2
27.828.0
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End8.9
red by 10.2
5171
#12
17.20.4
16.917.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End4.7
Second
20.70.2
21.021.3
Auto3.9
Teleop14.2
End2.6
red by 7.7
6353
#13
13.00.4
12.713.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Third
6506
#17
13.80.2
14.414.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End2.8
red by 0.9
2035
#31
12.80.4
12.512.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7