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Red70
207320.7
312827.4
650613.8
Blue40
349517.1
581720.2
682210.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675230406080901007040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.1
27.927.7
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End8.9
red by 7.2
20.20.2
20.620.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End3.3
Second
20.70.1
21.221.0
Auto3.9
Teleop14.2
End2.6
red by 3.6
17.10.2
17.417.2
Auto5.1
Teleop9.8
End2.2
Third
6506
#17
13.80.1
14.514.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End2.8
red by 3.1
6822
#15
10.60.2
11.010.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End3.2