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Red52
635313.0
510421.5
85214.2
Blue70
25325.4
29913.7
19216.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395320306070805270

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.51.0
16.817.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End6.7
blue by 3.9
253
#3
25.40.1
20.720.9
Auto5.7
Teleop15.5
End4.2
Second
852
#23
14.21.7
9.911.6
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End2.0
blue by 2.1
192
#18
16.40.1
16.516.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.8
Third
6353
#13
13.01.0
9.910.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End3.0
blue by 0.8
299
#14
13.70.2
13.113.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed