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Red23
730810.1
498413.8
752811.4
Blue36
666513.2
77779.7
167120.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36410102030506070802336

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4984
#16
13.81.0
13.712.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End3.5
blue by 6.3
20.10.4
15.915.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End7.5
Second
7528
#24
11.41.6
10.18.5
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End2.8
blue by 1.9
6665
#32
13.20.6
12.411.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End2.4
Third
7308
#28
10.11.6
10.79.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End2.1
red by 0.4
7777
#33
9.70.6
10.29.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsEarned