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Red46
682210.6
666513.2
349517.1
Blue34
203512.8
264311.7
635313.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37373436384042444634

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.10.7
13.113.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.8
End2.2
red by 4.1
6353
#13
13.00.0
10.910.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Second
6665
#32
13.21.2
11.813.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End2.4
red by 0.4
2035
#31
12.80.1
11.511.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
Third
6822
#15
10.61.2
10.011.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End3.2
blue by 1.0
2643
#25
11.70.1
12.312.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed