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Red62
207320.7
85214.2
581720.2
Blue48
167120.1
74016.7
766717.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483802060806248

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.71.8
18.420.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.2
End2.6
red by 0.6
20.10.8
15.516.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End7.5
Second
20.21.1
15.616.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End3.3
red by 3.2
17.11.4
10.712.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End3.2
Third
852
#23
14.21.8
11.613.5
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End2.0
red by 7.5
7401
#26
6.71.4
9.410.8
Auto1.3
Teleop2.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsEarned