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Red40
635313.0
41715.0
688414.6
Blue22
264311.7
730810.1
85214.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404220253035455055604022

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6884
#30
14.60.1
16.016.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End1.7
red by 0.4
852
#23
14.22.6
13.210.7
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Second
6353
#13
13.00.1
9.49.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End3.0
red by 1.3
2643
#25
11.72.6
13.310.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End2.4
Third
4171
#35
5.00.2
12.913.1
Auto0.7
Teleop2.9
End1.4
blue by 5.1
7308
#28
10.12.6
12.710.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed