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Red64
70219.3
681414.6
207320.7
Blue54
25325.4
582310.2
498413.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40491020306070806454

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.72.9
14.717.6
Auto3.9
Teleop14.2
End2.6
blue by 4.7
253
#3
25.40.6
19.620.1
Auto5.7
Teleop15.5
End4.2
Second
702
#22
19.32.9
13.816.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End2.8
red by 5.5
4984
#16
13.80.5
12.813.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End3.5
Third
6814
#27
14.61.9
9.611.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End3.0
red by 4.4
5823
#34
10.20.8
14.415.2
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsEarned