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Red33
688414.6
349517.1
498413.8
Blue61
682210.6
312827.4
581720.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495930407080903361

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.10.9
17.016.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.8
End2.2
blue by 10.3
27.40.3
26.226.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End8.9
Second
6884
#30
14.60.9
15.614.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End1.7
blue by 5.6
20.20.3
18.418.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End3.3
Third
4984
#16
13.80.9
14.313.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End3.5
red by 3.2
6822
#15
10.60.5
11.111.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed68%HAB Docking oddsMissed