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Red62
605910.9
19216.4
635313.0
Blue34
207320.7
128011.4
425511.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385202060806234

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#18
16.41.1
15.416.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.8
blue by 4.3
20.71.4
22.721.3
Auto3.9
Teleop14.2
End2.6
Second
6353
#13
13.01.1
11.712.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End3.0
red by 1.5
4255
#21
11.41.5
14.813.3
Auto2.2
Teleop6.2
End3.0
Third
6059
#20
10.91.4
9.210.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End2.9
blue by 0.5
1280
#29
11.41.0
12.211.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed