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Red52
85214.2
25325.4
605910.9
Blue44
517117.2
650613.8
688414.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5449102030406070805244

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
253
#3
25.40.1
25.925.8
Auto5.7
Teleop15.5
End4.2
red by 8.2
5171
#12
17.20.2
17.116.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End4.7
Second
852
#23
14.20.2
14.414.2
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End2.0
blue by 0.4
6884
#30
14.60.2
15.215.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Third
6059
#20
10.90.2
10.810.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End2.9
blue by 2.8
6506
#17
13.80.2
14.614.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed