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Red32
682210.6
70219.3
425511.4
Blue26
41715.0
264311.7
681414.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45320204060803226

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
702
#22
19.30.8
18.517.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End2.8
red by 4.8
6814
#27
14.60.7
13.012.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End3.0
Second
4255
#21
11.40.9
12.311.4
Auto2.2
Teleop6.2
End3.0
blue by 0.2
2643
#25
11.70.9
11.810.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End2.4
Third
6822
#15
10.60.8
11.610.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End3.2
red by 5.6
4171
#35
5.00.8
5.85.0
Auto0.7
Teleop2.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed