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Red40
427618.6
585112.7
566919.2
Blue52
550011.6
395215.0
448122.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5041203060704052

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.8
14.713.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End4.6
blue by 3.6
22.81.5
18.119.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.9
End6.9
Second
4276
#11
18.60.8
18.117.3
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End3.7
red by 3.6
3952
#16
15.01.5
10.912.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End3.1
Third
5851
#22
12.70.8
14.613.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 1.1
5500
#10
11.61.5
9.811.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsEarned