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Red41
607216.6
622013.7
75245.4
Blue32
395310.5
249612.4
501214.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28292630323436384132

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.61.6
13.114.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End5.0
red by 2.1
5012
#38
14.50.5
11.712.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.3
End3.6
Second
6220
#31
13.71.6
8.910.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.5
red by 1.3
2496
#40
12.40.5
7.37.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Third
7524
#49
5.41.6
5.06.5
Auto1.4
Teleop3.0
End1.0
blue by 5.1
3953
#25
10.50.5
8.79.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed