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Red63
744719.1
715711.5
448122.8
Blue42
385918.9
72308.3
395215.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4239203050606342

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.82.0
19.621.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.9
End6.9
red by 3.8
3859
#21
18.90.4
13.212.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End4.1
Second
19.12.0
13.615.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End3.5
red by 4.1
3952
#16
15.00.4
12.311.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End3.1
Third
7157
#26
11.52.0
6.28.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End4.6
red by 3.2
7230
#23
8.30.4
11.310.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsEarned41%HAB Docking oddsMissed