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Red50
416111.2
748210.8
649912.6
Blue18
249612.4
75245.4
249313.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2730102040505018

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6499
#47
12.60.9
9.510.4
Auto2.2
Teleop7.1
End3.4
blue by 0.9
2493
#15
13.61.2
14.213.0
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End4.3
Second
4161
#32
11.20.9
10.311.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End3.1
blue by 1.2
2496
#40
12.41.2
7.86.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Third
7482
#42
10.80.9
5.96.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.5
End2.9
red by 5.4
7524
#49
5.41.2
6.55.4
Auto1.4
Teleop3.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed