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Red50
491315.6
607216.6
15913.9
Blue44
41149.7
566919.2
580514.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4635102030405060705044

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.4
14.615.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End5.0
blue by 2.6
19.21.2
13.915.1
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End4.6
Second
4913
#13
15.60.4
14.314.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End3.0
red by 0.9
5805
#36
14.71.2
11.212.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End3.0
Third
159
#33
13.90.4
14.414.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End2.1
red by 4.2
4114
#48
9.71.2
8.29.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed