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Red26
581010.4
59714.5
116017.1
Blue36
66929.7
501214.5
325015.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4639253035505560652636

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1160
#20
17.12.0
18.516.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End3.3
red by 1.4
3250
#28
15.60.1
16.616.5
Auto2.8
Teleop9.4
End3.4
Second
597
#29
14.52.0
15.413.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Level
5012
#38
14.50.1
12.212.0
Auto5.6
Teleop5.3
End3.6
Third
5810
#41
10.42.0
9.77.8
Auto0.1
Teleop5.3
End4.9
red by 0.6
6692
#37
9.70.1
8.58.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed