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Red39
15913.9
41149.7
461913.4
Blue52
585112.7
622013.7
748210.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39352030503952

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
#33
13.90.8
13.813.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End2.1
red by 0.2
6220
#31
13.71.0
13.314.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Second
4619
#35
13.40.9
13.913.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End3.0
red by 0.7
5851
#22
12.71.1
10.511.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Third
4114
#48
9.70.8
9.48.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.4
End2.0
blue by 1.2
7482
#42
10.81.0
9.610.6
Auto4.4
Teleop3.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed