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Red40
75245.4
649912.6
427618.6
Blue63
407920.2
151514.5
59714.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384920306070804063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#11
18.60.4
19.219.6
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End3.7
blue by 1.7
20.21.7
20.021.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.8
End8.5
Second
6499
#47
12.60.4
12.112.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.1
End3.4
blue by 1.9
14.51.7
12.614.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End3.7
Third
7524
#49
5.40.4
4.75.1
Auto1.4
Teleop3.0
End1.0
blue by 9.1
597
#29
14.51.9
13.715.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsEarned