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Red57
448122.8
416111.2
476313.6
Blue48
580222.4
375911.7
116017.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45502030406070805748

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.81.4
19.921.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.9
End6.9
red by 0.4
5802
#27
22.40.0
17.717.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End4.1
Second
4763
#34
13.61.4
12.714.1
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End3.1
blue by 3.5
1160
#20
17.10.0
17.817.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End3.3
Third
4161
#32
11.21.4
10.511.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End3.1
blue by 0.5
3759
#43
11.70.0
12.112.1
Auto2.1
Teleop6.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed