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Red51
581010.4
29422.4
58357.6
Blue90
249313.6
566919.2
33033.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34602040805190

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#4
22.42.0
18.920.9
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End8.1
blue by 10.7
330
#1
33.12.2
28.030.2
Auto5.8
Teleop19.0
End8.3
Second
5810
#41
10.42.0
8.210.1
Auto0.1
Teleop5.3
End4.9
blue by 8.8
19.22.2
16.718.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End4.6
Third
5835
#45
7.62.0
5.06.9
Auto1.4
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 6.0
2493
#15
13.62.2
12.014.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned67%HAB Docking oddsEarned