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Red30
72308.3
330920.5
65356.9
Blue63
420116.9
249612.4
385918.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3835203050603063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#12
20.50.9
20.019.1
Auto5.2
Teleop11.7
End3.6
red by 1.6
3859
#21
18.92.8
13.616.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End4.1
Second
7230
#23
8.30.9
9.88.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End2.9
blue by 8.6
4201
#17
16.93.0
12.315.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End4.2
Third
6535
#44
6.90.9
6.35.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 5.5
2496
#40
12.42.8
6.99.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed