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Red48
325015.6
585112.7
596613.5
Blue43
347316.8
580514.7
649912.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424720305060704843

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#28
15.60.2
15.115.0
Auto2.8
Teleop9.4
End3.4
blue by 1.2
3473
#24
16.80.1
15.615.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End3.0
Second
5966
#18
13.50.2
13.012.8
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End2.8
blue by 1.3
5805
#36
14.70.1
16.316.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End3.0
Third
5851
#22
12.70.2
11.611.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 0.1
6499
#47
12.60.1
12.512.4
Auto2.2
Teleop7.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed