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Red51
427618.6
151514.5
491315.6
Blue47
748210.8
501214.5
183618.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54432060805147

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#11
18.60.3
19.619.3
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End3.7
red by 0.6
1836
#30
18.00.0
16.816.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End4.3
Second
4913
#13
15.60.4
17.617.2
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End3.0
red by 1.1
5012
#38
14.50.0
13.513.5
Auto5.6
Teleop5.3
End3.6
Third
14.50.3
14.314.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End3.7
red by 3.7
7482
#42
10.80.0
10.610.6
Auto4.4
Teleop3.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed