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Red49
41149.7
97331.9
581010.4
Blue73
330920.5
40568.8
580222.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51462030406070804973

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#3
31.90.0
30.030.1
Auto4.9
Teleop19.0
End8.0
red by 9.5
5802
#27
22.41.7
17.819.4
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End4.1
Second
5810
#41
10.40.0
10.110.2
Auto0.1
Teleop5.3
End4.9
blue by 10.2
3309
#12
20.51.7
19.120.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Third
4114
#48
9.70.0
8.68.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.4
End2.0
red by 0.8
4056
#39
8.81.7
6.98.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsMissed