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Red56
116017.1
347316.8
420116.9
Blue76
33033.1
385918.9
84112.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515720304070805676

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1160
#20
17.10.4
17.818.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End3.3
blue by 16.0
330
#1
33.12.1
30.232.3
Auto5.8
Teleop19.0
End8.3
Second
4201
#17
16.90.5
15.315.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End4.2
blue by 2.0
3859
#21
18.92.1
16.518.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End4.1
Third
3473
#24
16.80.4
15.415.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End3.0
red by 4.8
841
#14
12.02.3
7.39.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed58%HAB Docking oddsEarned