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Red82
558723.4
740013.9
20121.3
Blue91
61931.7
8523.0
87033.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions599640801208291

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5587
#40
23.40.9
22.523.4
Auto5.8
Teleop14.1
End3.5
blue by 10.2
870
#5
33.60.8
33.833.0
Auto5.1
Teleop20.3
End8.2
Second
201
#61
21.30.9
20.421.3
Auto4.9
Teleop14.2
End2.2
blue by 10.4
619
#4
31.70.8
32.932.1
Auto5.3
Teleop20.2
End6.1
Third
7400
#59
13.90.9
13.013.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End2.8
blue by 9.2
85
#11
23.00.8
23.823.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed72%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed96%HAB Docking oddsEarned