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Red84
53713.8
434221.7
176828.5
Blue67
398519.2
20121.3
6623.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70622040801008467

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#24
28.51.2
27.829.0
Auto3.3
Teleop19.6
End5.6
red by 5.1
66
#35
23.40.6
24.024.6
Auto5.8
Teleop12.7
End5.0
Second
4342
#47
21.71.2
23.124.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End6.3
red by 0.4
201
#61
21.30.6
18.519.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.2
End2.2
Third
537
#50
13.81.2
15.516.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.4
End5.2
blue by 5.4
3985
#56
19.20.6
15.816.4
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
13%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
81%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsEarned