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Red81
338623.1
716026.8
704814.4
Blue77
23430.4
87033.6
743216.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67854060801001208177

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7160
#45
26.81.2
27.428.6
Auto4.8
Teleop15.4
End6.6
blue by 6.9
870
#5
33.60.2
33.833.6
Auto5.1
Teleop20.3
End8.2
Second
3386
#32
23.11.2
23.324.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End5.0
blue by 7.2
234
#10
30.40.2
30.830.6
Auto5.3
Teleop16.8
End8.2
Third
7048
#58
14.41.2
12.613.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End3.6
blue by 2.0
7432
#57
16.40.2
15.615.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed56%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned96%HAB Docking oddsEarned